Thanks for visiting this site. I am a Professor in the Department of
Political Science at the University
of Calgary. My research and teaching are in the area of Canadian
politics, with a particular focus on municipal elections and
representation, ideology and political representation in municipal
politics, and urban-rural political divides. I am also interested in
“implicit” or “lay” theories of politics, especially among political
elites.
I am currently involved in several projects on these themes. I am
principal investigator for the Canadian
Municipal Barometer, an annual survey of mayors and councillors in
Canada, and co-PI, with Peter Loewen, of the Canadian chapter of POLPOP,
a comparative survey of political elites led by Stefaan Walgrave. I am
co-PI, with Zack Taylor, of Cities in Canadian Political Development, a
study of the urban-rural divide and urban representation in Canadian
politics from 1867-present, along with a related effort to consolidate
Canadian Gallup surveys from 1945-2000. I am also pleased to be a member
of the research teams for the Canadian Municipal Election Study
and the Multilevel Democracy Project, both of which are focused on
municipal elections and voting in Canada.
Refereed Publications
Forthcoming
- Anderson, Cameron, Jack Lucas, and R. Michael McGregor. Forthcoming.
“Urban home values and multi-level political accountability: Evidence
from Calgary, Canada” Journal of Urban Affairs.
- Anderson, Cameron, Tyler Romualdi, Jack Lucas, and R. Michael
McGregor. Forthcoming. “Economic Anxiety and Incumbent Support in
Ontario” Journal of Elections, Public Opinion, and
Parties.
- Artiles, Alexandra, Sandra Breux, Meagan Cloutier, Susan
Franceschet, and Jack Lucas. Forthcoming. “Women’s Representation in
Canadian Municipalities.” Urban Affairs Review.
- Armstrong, David A. II, and Jack Lucas. Forthcoming. “The Structure of Municipal Voting in
Vancouver.” Journal of Urban Affairs
- Borwein, Sophie, Jack Lucas, and Cameron Anderson. Forthcoming. “Lay Theories of Place Effects.”
Political Psychology
- Franceschet, Susan, Jack Lucas, and Erica Rayment. Forthcoming.
“Representing Women’s Policy Preferences: Evidence from Canada.”
Politics & Gender.
- Hiller, Harry, Jack Lucas and R. Michael McGregor. Forthcoming. “Why
Do Local Residents Oppose Olympic Bids? An Electoral Perspective from
Calgary 2026.” Event Management.
- Lucas, Jack, Peter Loewen, and Lior Sheffer. Forthcoming. “Are
Politicians Democratic Realists? European Journal of Political
Research. // Supplementary
Material | Data
and Replication Files
- Lucas, Jack and Lior Sheffer. Forthcoming. “What Explains Elite Affective Polarization?
Evidence from Canadian Politicians.” Political
Psychology
- McGregor, R. Michael, Jack Lucas, Chris Erl, and Cameron Anderson.
Forthcoming. “Understanding Support for Municipal Political Parties:
Evidence from Canada.” Urban Affairs Review
- Sheffer, Lior, Jack Lucas, and Peter Loewen. Forthcoming. “Long-Term
Policymaking and Politicians’ Beliefs about Voters: Evidence from a
Three-Year Panel Survey of Politicians.” Governance. || Supplementary
Material | Data
and replication files
- Taylor, Zack, Jack Lucas, David A. Armstrong II, and Ryan Bakker.
Forthcoming. “The
Development of the Urban-Rural Cleavage in Anglo-American
Democracies.” Comparative Political Studies. | Supplementary
Material | Data
and Replication Files
2023
- Borwein, Sophie and Jack Lucas. 2023. “Municipal
Identity and City Interests.” Political Behavior. 45(3):
831-853. // Supplementary
Material | Data and
Replication Files
- Borwein, Sophie and Jack Lucas. 2023. “Asymmetries in Urban, Suburban, and Rural
Place-Based Resentment.” Political Geography (105):
1-10.
- Breton, Charles, Jack Lucas, and Zack Taylor. 2023. “Local
Autonomy: Unconditional Elites and Conditional Publics.” Local
Government Studies 49 (6): 1263-1284.
- Conrad, Laura and Jack Lucas. 2023. “Women’s Inclusion and
Participation in Municipal Elections: Historical Evidence from Eligible
Voter Lists.” Urban History Review. 51 (1): 145-153.
- Eidelman, Gabriel and Jack Lucas. 2023. “How Do Municipal Mayors and Councillors
Communicate with other Levels of Government? Evidence from a Multi-level
Survey of Canadian Elected Officials” Canadian Public
Administration 66(1): 78-95
- Erl, Chris, R. Michael McGregor, Jack Lucas, and Cameron Anderson.
2023. “Resentment and admiration: Public opinion towards teachers and
public sector employees in Ontario.” Canadian Journal of
Education. 46 (3): 597-627.
- Lucas, Jack, R. Michael McGregor, and Aengus Bridgman. 2023. “Spatial Voting in
Non-Partisan Cities: A Case Study” Electoral Studies 82
(102599): 1-12.
- Lucas, Jack. 2023. “The Ideological
Structure of Municipal Non-Ideology.” Urban Affairs Review
59 (1): 275-293.
- Taylor, Zack, Jack Lucas, J.P. Kirby, and Christopher Hewitt. 2023.
“Canada’s Federal
Electoral Districts, 1867-2021: New Digital Boundary Files and a
Comparative Investigation of District Compactness.” Canadian
Journal of Political Science. 56(2): 451-467. | Data and Replication
Files
2022
- Lucas, Jack. 2022 “Do ‘Non-Partisan’
Politicians Match the Partisanship of their Constituents?” Urban
Affairs Review 58 (1): 103-128.
- Armstrong, David, Jack Lucas, and Zack Taylor. 2022. “The
Urban-Rural Divide in Canadian Federal Elections, 1896–2019.”
Canadian Journal of Political Science 55 (1): 84-106. // Preprint Version | Supplementary
Material | Short
Summary
- Blidook, Kelly, Royce Koop, and Jack Lucas. 2022 “Municipal
Representation Style and Focus: Evidence from Canadian Mayors and
Councillors.” Representation 58 (4): 603-622.
- Lucas, Jack, R. Michael McGregor, and Kim-Lee Tuxhorn. 2022 “Closest
to the People? Incumbency Advantage and the Personal Vote in
Non-Partisan Elections” Political Research Quarterly 75
(1): 188-202. // Supplementary
Material | Data and
replication files
- Franceschet, Antonio, Jack Lucas, Brenda O’Neill, Elizabeth Pando,
and Melanee Thomas. 2022. “Editor
Fatigue: Can Political Science Journals Increase Review Acceptance
Rates?” PS: Political Science and Politics. 55 (1):
117:122. // Data and
replication files
2021
- Lucas, Jack and R. Michael McGregor, Eds. 2021. Big
City Elections in Canada. Toronto: University of Toronto
Press.
- Lucas, Jack and David A. Armstrong II. 2021. “Policy
Ideology and Local Ideological Representation in Canada.”
Canadian Journal of Political Science 54(4): 959-976. // Data
and Replication Files | Policy
Ideology Estimates for Municipalities and Federal Electoral
Districts
- Lucas, Jack, Reed Merrill, Kelly Blidook, Sandra Breux, Laura
Conrad, Gabriel Eidelman, Royce Koop, Daniella Marciano, Zack Taylor,
Salomé Vallette. 2021. “Women’s
Municipal Electoral Performance: An Introduction to the Canadian
Municipal Elections Database.” Canadian Journal of Political
Science 54(1): 125-133. // Data and replication files
| Supplementary
Material
- McGregor, R. Michael, Cameron Anderson, Éric Bélanger, Sandra Breux,
Jack Lucas, Scott Matthews, Anne Mévellec, Aaron Moore, Scott Pruysers,
Laura Stephenson, and Erin Tolley. 2021. “The Canadian Municipal
Election Study.’’ Frontiers in Political Science.
- Lucas, Jack. 2021 “The Size and Sources of
Municipal Incumbency Advantage in Canada.” Urban Affairs
Review. 57(2): 373-401. // Data
and replication files
2020
- Lucas, Jack and R. Michael McGregor. 2020. “Are City Elections
Unique? Perceptions of Electoral Cleavages and Social Sorting Across
Levels of Government.” Electoral Studies 66: 1-8.
- Lucas, Jack. 2020. “Reaction or Reform?
Subnational Evidence on P.R. Adoption from Canadian Cities.”
Representation 56(1): 89-109. // Supplementary
material
- Lucas, Jack and Alison Smith. 2020 “Performance, Effectiveness, and
Legitimacy in Canadian Municipal IGR.” In Canadian Federalism:
Performance, Effectiveness, and Efficiency (4th Ed.), edited by
Herman Bakvis and Grace Skogstad. Toronto: University of Toronto
Press.
- Armstrong, David, Matthew Lebo, and Jack Lucas. 2020 “Do COVID-19
Policies Affect Mobility Behaviour? Evidence from 75 Canadian and
American Cities.” Canadian Public Policy 46(2):
127-144.
- Armstrong, David, and Jack Lucas. 2020. “Measuring and Comparing
Municipal Policy Responses to COVID-19.” Canadian Journal of
Political Science 53(2): 227-238. // Online Appendix |
Data and replication
files
- Davidson, Adrienne, Jack Lucas, and R. Michael McGregor. 2020. “Politics
and Religion: Identifying the Correlates of Support for Merging the
Public and Separate School Systems in Ontario.” Canadian Journal
of Education 43(1): 229-257.
2019
- McGregor, R. Michael and Jack Lucas. 2019. “Who Has School Spirit?
Explaining Voter Participation in Calgary School Board Elections.”
Canadian Journal of Political Science. // Data and replication
files
- Peterson, Jacqueline, Jack Lucas, and Andrew Klain. 2019. “Cities, Places, and
Provincial Policy Agendas.” Canadian Public Administration
62 (2): 249-269. // Data.
- Honourable mention, Hodgetts Award for best article in the 2019
volume of Canadian Public Administration.
- Lucas, Jack and Alison Smith. 2019. “Multilevel Governance
from the Municipal Point of View.” Canadian Public
Administration. 62(2): 270-293. // Data and replication files
| Supplementary
material.
- Winner, Hodgetts Award for best article in the 2019 volume of
Canadian Public Administration.
- Weijs, Cynthia, Sara Gobrail, Jack Lucas, Jennifer Zwicker, and
Lindsay McLaren. 2019. “Identifying and
critically examining government legislation relevant to children’s
dental caries in Calgary, Alberta, Canada: a health inequities
lens.” Journal of Public Health Dentistry 79(2):
137-146.
- Lucas, Jack and Alison Smith. 2019. “Which
Policy Issues Matter in Canadian Municipalities? A Survey of Municipal
Politicians” School of Public Policy Research Papers. 12:
1-26. (Refereed report).
2013-2018
- Lucas, Jack and Anthony Sayers. 2018. “Accountability,
Responsiveness, and the Local Political Career in Calgary and Edmonton.”
In Accountability
and Responsiveness at the Municipal Level: Views from Canada,
edited by Sandra Breux and Jerome Couture. Montreal/Kingston:
McGill-Queen’s University Press.
- Sayers, Anthony and Jack Lucas. 2017. “Policy
Responsiveness and Political Accountability in City Politics.”
School of Public Policy Research Papers 10(4): 1-23. (Refereed
report).
- Lucas, Jack. 2018. “Toward
Delegation: Social Policy Centralization in Toronto, 1870-1929.”
Journal of Policy History 30(2): 272-300.
- Lucas, Jack. 2017. “Urban Governance and the
American Political Development Approach.” Urban Affairs
Review 53(2): 338-361.
- Lucas, Jack. 2017. “Patterns of Urban
Governance: A Sequence Analysis of Long-Term Institutional Change in Six
Canadian Cities.” Journal of Urban Affairs 39(1): 68-90. //
Data and replication
files
- Goodman, Nicole and Jack Lucas. 2016. “The
Policy Priorities of Municipal Candidates in the 2014 Ontario
Elections.” Canadian Journal of Urban Research 25(2):
35-47.
- Lucas, Jack and Robert Vipond. 2017. “Back to the Future:
Historical Political Science and the Promise of Canadian Political
Development.” Canadian Journal of Political Science 50(1):
219-241.
- Lucas, Jack. 2016. Fields of
Authority: Special Purpose Governance in Ontario, 1815-2015.
Toronto: University of Toronto Press. // Data and replication
files
- Lucas, Jack. 2015. “Local Governance and the
Local Political Career: A Sample Dataset.” Canadian Public
Administration 58(4): 605-617. // Data and replication
files
- Lucas, Jack. 2015. “How
Ontario Hydro Went Local: The Creation of Rural Power Districts and the
Central Ontario System.” Scientia Canadensis 37(1-2):
59-76.
- Lucas, Jack. 2013. “Berlin,
Ontario in the Age of the ABC.” Urban History Review 41(2):
19-42.
- Lucas, Jack. 2013. “A
Century of Political Science in Canada.” Journal of Canadian
Studies 47(2): 89-118. [paper]
Active Research Grants
- SSHRC Insight Development Grant. “Policy Attitudes of the Canadian
Public, 1945-2023”. $74,000. Principal investigator: Jack Lucas.
Co-applicants: David A. Armstrong II, Elizabeth Goodyear-Grant.
- SSHRC Insight Grant. “The Multilevel Democracy Project”. $220,000.
Principal investigator: Cameron Anderson. Co-applicants: Jack Lucas, R.
Michael McGregor. Collaborator: Laura Stephenson.
- SSHRC Partnership Development Grant. “The Canadian Municipal
Barometer.” 2019-2022. $103,000 plus $87,000 from other sources.
Principal investigator: Jack Lucas. Co-applicants: Sandra Breux, Kelly
Blidook, Gabriel Eidelman, Royce Koop. Collaborators: Katherine
Einstein, Thomas Ivacko, Andrew Sancton, Peter Loewen, Enid Slack,
Jennifer Arntfield, Michael Morden. Partners: University of Calgary,
University of Manitoba, University of Toronto, INRS Montreal, Memorial
University, Federation of Canadian Municipalities, Samara Canada.
- SSHRC Insight Grant. “Cities in Canadian Political Development.”
2019-2024. $95,727. Jack Lucas (PI), Zack Taylor (co-PI), David
Armstrong (Collaborator).