Thanks for visiting this site. I am an Associate Professor in the Department of
Political Science at the University
of Calgary. My research and teaching are in the area of Canadian
politics, with a particular focus on municipal politics and democracy,
ideology and political representation, and Canadian political
I am currently involved in several projects on these themes. I am
principal investigator for the Canadian
Municipal Barometer, an annual survey of mayors and councillors in
Canada, and co-PI, with Peter Loewen, of the Canadian chapter of POLPOP,
a comparative survey of political elites. I am co-PI, with Zack Taylor,
of Cities in Canadian Political Development, a study of the urban-rural
divide and urban representation in Canadian politics from 1867-present,
along with a related effort to consolidate Canadian Gallup surveys from
1945-2000. I am also pleased to be a member of the research teams for
the Canadian Municipal Election
Study and the Multilevel Democracy Project, both of which are
focused on municipal elections and voting in Canada.
- Armstrong, David A. II, and Jack Lucas. Forthcoming. “The Structure of Municipal Voting in
Vancouver.” Journal of Urban Affairs
- Breton, Charles, Jack Lucas, and Zack Taylor. Forthcoming. “Local
Autonomy: Unconditional Elites and Conditional Publics.” Local
- Lucas, Jack. Forthcoming. “The Ideological
Structure of Municipal Non-Ideology.” Urban Affairs
- Anderson, Cameron, Jack Lucas, and R. Michael McGregor. Forthcoming.
“Economic Voting and Home Values: Who is Held Accountable for the
Housing Market?” Journal of Urban Affairs.
- Blidook, Kelly, Royce Koop, and Jack Lucas. Forthcoming. “Municipal
Representation Style and Focus: Evidence from Canadian Mayors and
- Borwein, Sophie and Jack Lucas. Forthcoming. “Municipal
Identity and City Interests.” Political Behavior. // Supplementary
Material | Data and
- Armstrong, David, Jack Lucas, and Zack Taylor. 2022. “The
Urban-Rural Divide in Canadian Federal Elections, 1896–2019.”
Canadian Journal of Political Science 55 (1): 84-106. // Preprint Version | Supplementary
- Lucas, Jack, R. Michael McGregor, and Kim-Lee Tuxhorn. 2022 “Closest
to the People? Incumbency Advantage and the Personal Vote in
Non-Partisan Elections” Political Research Quarterly 75
(1): 188-202. // Supplementary
Material | Data and
- Lucas, Jack. 2022 “Do ‘Non-Partisan’
Politicians Match the Partisanship of their Constituents?” Urban
Affairs Review 58 (1): 103-128.
- Franceschet, Antonio, Jack Lucas, Brenda O’Neill, Elizabeth Pando,
and Melanee Thomas. 2022. “Editor
Fatigue: Can Political Science Journals Increase Review Acceptance
Rates?” PS: Political Science and Politics. 55 (1):
117:122. // Data and
- Lucas, Jack and David A. Armstrong II. 2021. “Policy
Ideology and Local Ideological Representation in Canada.”
Canadian Journal of Political Science 54(4): 959-976. // Data
and Replication Files | Policy
Ideology Estimates for Municipalities and Federal Electoral
- Lucas, Jack, Reed Merrill, Kelly Blidook, Sandra Breux, Laura
Conrad, Gabriel Eidelman, Royce Koop, Daniella Marciano, Zack Taylor,
Salomé Vallette. 2021. “Women’s
Municipal Electoral Performance: An Introduction to the Canadian
Municipal Elections Database.” Canadian Journal of Political
Science 54(1): 125-133. // Data and replication files
- McGregor, R. Michael, Cameron Anderson, Éric Bélanger, Sandra Breux,
Jack Lucas, Scott Matthews, Anne Mévellec, Aaron Moore, Scott Pruysers,
Laura Stephenson, and Erin Tolley. 2021. “The Canadian Municipal
Election Study.’’ Frontiers in Political Science.
- Lucas, Jack. 2021 “The Size and Sources of
Municipal Incumbency Advantage in Canada.” Urban Affairs
Review. 57(2): 373-401. // Data
and replication files
- Lucas, Jack and R. Michael McGregor. 2020. “Are City Elections
Unique? Perceptions of Electoral Cleavages and Social Sorting Across
Levels of Government.” Electoral Studies 66: 1-8.
- Armstrong, David, Matthew Lebo, and Jack Lucas. 2020 “Do COVID-19
Policies Affect Mobility Behaviour? Evidence from 75 Canadian and
American Cities.” Canadian Public Policy 46(2):
- Armstrong, David, and Jack Lucas. 2020. “Measuring and Comparing
Municipal Policy Responses to COVID-19.” Canadian Journal of
Political Science 53(2): 227-238. // Online Appendix |
Data and replication
- Lucas, Jack. 2020. “Reaction or Reform?
Subnational Evidence on P.R. Adoption from Canadian Cities.”
Representation 56(1): 89-109. // Supplementary
- Davidson, Adrienne, Jack Lucas, and R. Michael McGregor. 2020. “Politics
and Religion: Identifying the Correlates of Support for Merging the
Public and Separate School Systems in Ontario.” Canadian Journal
of Education 43(1): 229-257.
- McGregor, R. Michael and Jack Lucas. 2019. “Who Has School Spirit?
Explaining Voter Participation in Calgary School Board Elections.”
Canadian Journal of Political Science. // Data and replication
- Peterson, Jacqueline, Jack Lucas, and Andrew Klain. 2019. “Cities, Places, and
Provincial Policy Agendas.” Canadian Public Administration
62 (2): 249-269. // Data.
- Honourable mention, Hodgetts Award for best article in the 2019
volume of Canadian Public Administration.
- Lucas, Jack and Alison Smith. 2019. “Multilevel Governance
from the Municipal Point of View.” Canadian Public
Administration. 62(2): 270-293. // Data and replication files
- Winner, Hodgetts Award for best article in the 2019 volume of
Canadian Public Administration.
- Weijs, Cynthia, Sara Gobrail, Jack Lucas, Jennifer Zwicker, and
Lindsay McLaren. 2019. “Identifying and
critically examining government legislation relevant to children’s
dental caries in Calgary, Alberta, Canada: a health inequities
lens.” Journal of Public Health Dentistry 79(2):
- Lucas, Jack. 2018. “Toward
Delegation: Social Policy Centralization in Toronto, 1870-1929.”
Journal of Policy History 30(2): 272-300.
- Lucas, Jack. 2017. “Urban Governance and the
American Political Development Approach.” Urban Affairs
Review 53(2): 338-361.
- Lucas, Jack and Robert Vipond. 2017. “Back to the Future:
Historical Political Science and the Promise of Canadian Political
Development.” Canadian Journal of Political Science 50(1):
- Lucas, Jack. 2017. “Patterns of Urban
Governance: A Sequence Analysis of Long-Term Institutional Change in Six
Canadian Cities.” Journal of Urban Affairs 39(1): 68-90. //
Data and replication
- Goodman, Nicole and Jack Lucas. 2016. “The
Policy Priorities of Municipal Candidates in the 2014 Ontario
Elections.” Canadian Journal of Urban Research 25(2):
- Lucas, Jack. 2015. “Local Governance and the
Local Political Career: A Sample Dataset.” Canadian Public
Administration 58(4): 605-617. // Data and replication
- Lucas, Jack. 2015. “How
Ontario Hydro Went Local: The Creation of Rural Power Districts and the
Central Ontario System.” Scientia Canadensis 37(1-2):
- Lucas, Jack. 2013. “A
Century of Political Science in Canada.” Journal of Canadian
Studies 47(2): 89-118. [paper]
- Lucas, Jack. 2013. “Berlin,
Ontario in the Age of the ABC.” Urban History Review 41(2):
Chapters and Reports
- Lucas, Jack and Alison Smith. 2020 “Performance, Effectiveness, and
Legitimacy in Canadian Municipal IGR.” In Canadian Federalism:
Performance, Effectiveness, and Efficiency (4th Ed.), edited by
Herman Bakvis and Grace Skogstad. Toronto: University of Toronto
- Lucas, Jack and Alison Smith. 2019. “Which
Policy Issues Matter in Canadian Municipalities? A Survey of Municipal
Politicians” School of Public Policy Research Papers. 12:
1-26. (Refereed report).
- Lucas, Jack and Anthony Sayers. 2018. “Accountability,
Responsiveness, and the Local Political Career in Calgary and Edmonton.”
and Responsiveness at the Municipal Level: Views from Canada,
edited by Sandra Breux and Jerome Couture. Montreal/Kingston:
McGill-Queen’s University Press.
- Sayers, Anthony and Jack Lucas. 2017. “Policy
Responsiveness and Political Accountability in City Politics.”
School of Public Policy Research Papers 10(4): 1-23. (Refereed
- Lucas, Jack. 2020. “Introduction to the
COVID-19 Series”. Canadian Journal of Political Science 53
- Canadian Municipal Barometer Reports:
- Calgary Year in Review Reports:
- Lucas, Jack. 2015. “Did Mayor Allen Huber Punch Louis Breithaupt in
the Nose?” Waterloo Historical Society Annual Volume 102: 77-84.
- Lucas, Jack. 2015. “How Things Change: Adventures in Unreconstructed
Institutionalism.” Public Sector Management 26(1): 24-25.
- Lucas, Jack. 2013. “Hidden in Plain View: Local Agencies, Boards,
and Commissions in Canada.” IMFG Perspectives Series 4: 1-7.
Working Papers and Manuscripts
- Lucas, Jack. Ideology in Canadian Municipal Politics. Book
manuscript. (draft complete)
- Hiller, Harry, Jack Lucas and R. Michael McGregor. “Why Do Local
Residents Oppose Olympic Bids? An Electoral Perspective from Calgary
2026.” Revised and resubmitted.
- Eidelman, Gabriel and Jack Lucas. “Is Anybody Listening?
Municipal Advocacy and Informal Intergovernmental Institutions in
Canada” Under Review
- Lucas, Jack, Peter Loewen, and Lior Sheffer. “Are Politicians Democratic Realists?”
- Conrad, Laura and Jack Lucas. “Women’s Inclusion and Participation
in Municipal Elections: Historical Evidence from Eligible Voter Lists.”
- Franceschet, Susan, Jack Lucas, and Erica Rayment. “Representing
Women’s Policy Preferences: Evidence from Canada.” Under
- Lucas, Jack, Peter Loewen, and Lior Sheffer. “Pathways to Political
Representation: Congruence and Knowledge among Canadian Politicians.”
- Sheffer, Lior, Jack Lucas, and Peter Loewen. “Long-Term Policymaking
and Politicians’ Beliefs about Voters: Evidence from a Three-Year Panel
Survey of Politicians.” Under Review
- Lucas, Jack, R. Michael McGregor, and Aengus Bridgman. “Spatial Voting in
Non-Partisan Cities: A Case Study”
- McAndrews, John, Jack Lucas, Eric Merkley, Daniel Rubenson, and
Peter Loewen. “Do Politicians and
Citizens Agree on How to Combat COVID-19? Evidence from Three
- Borwein, Sophie and Jack Lucas. “Asymmetries in Urban, Suburban, and Rural
- Taylor, Zack, Jack Lucas, and David A. Armstrong II. “The
Development of the Urban-Rural Cleavage in Anglo-American
Active Research Grants
- SSHRC Insight Grant. “The Multilevel Democracy Project”. $220,000.
Principal investigator: Cameron Anderson. Co-applicants: Jack Lucas, R.
Michael McGregor. Collaborator: Laura Stephenson.
- SSHRC Partnership Engage Grant. “Informing the Electorate: Public
Opinion and Local Media for the Calgary Municipal Election”. $18,200,
plus $5,000 from other sources. Principal investigator: Jack Lucas.
Co-applicants: Robson Fletcher, R. Michael McGregor. Partners:
University of Calgary, Ryerson University, CBC News Calgary.
- SSHRC COVID-19 Partnership Engage Grant. “Building Digital
Representa- tive Democracy in a Pandemic Era”. $23,200, plus $21,000
from other sources. Principal investigator: Jack Lucas. Co-applicant:
Michael Morden. Collaborator: Peter Loewen. Partners: University of
Calgary, Samara Canada.
- Canadian Opinion Research Archive Grant. Canadian Gallup Project.
- Google Cloud Academic Research Grant. “Canadian Municipal Election
Study: Calgary 2021.” $10,206. Principal investigator: Aengus Bridgman.
Co-applicants: Jack Lucas, R. Michael McGregor.
- SSHRC Partnership Development Grant. “The Canadian Municipal
Barometer.” 2019-2022. $103,000 plus $87,000 from other sources.
Principal investigator: Jack Lucas. Co-applicants: Sandra Breux, Kelly
Blidook, Gabriel Eidelman, Royce Koop. Collaborators: Katherine
Einstein, Thomas Ivacko, Andrew Sancton, Peter Loewen, Enid Slack,
Jennifer Arntfield, Michael Morden. Partners: University of Calgary,
University of Manitoba, University of Toronto, INRS Montreal, Memorial
University, Federation of Canadian Municipalities, Samara Canada.
- SSHRC Insight Grant. “Cities in Canadian Political Development.”
2019-2024. $95,727. Jack Lucas (PI), Zack Taylor (co-PI), David
- SSHRC Insight Grant. “Canadian Municipal Election Study.” 2017-2021.
$281,536. Principal Investigator: Michael McGregor. Co-applicants:
Cameron Anderson, Eric Belanger, Sandra Breux, Jack Lucas, Scott
Matthews, Aaron Moore, Laura Stephenson, Erin Tolley.