Jack Lucas | University of Calgary

• Email: jack.lucas@ucalgary.ca
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• Dataverse

Thanks for visiting this site. I am an Associate Professor in the Department of Political Science at the University of Calgary. My research and teaching are in the area of Canadian politics, with a particular focus on municipal politics and democracy, ideology and political representation, and Canadian political development.

I am currently involved in several projects on these themes. I am principal investigator for the Canadian Municipal Barometer, an annual survey of mayors and councillors in Canada, and co-PI, with Peter Loewen, of the Canadian chapter of POLPOP, a comparative survey of political elites. I am co-PI, with Zack Taylor, of Cities in Canadian Political Development, a study of the urban-rural divide and urban representation in Canadian politics from 1867-present, along with a related effort to consolidate Canadian Gallup surveys from 1945-2000. I am also pleased to be a member of the research teams for the Canadian Municipal Election Study and the Multilevel Democracy Project, both of which are focused on municipal elections and voting in Canada.

Project Links

• Canadian Municipal Barometer
• Canadian Municipal Election Study
• Toronto Political Development Workshop
• Political Development: Comparative Perspectives

Books

• Lucas, Jack and R. Michael McGregor, Eds. 2021. Big City Elections in Canada. Toronto: University of Toronto Press.
• Lucas, Jack. 2016. Fields of Authority: Special Purpose Governance in Ontario, 1815-2015. Toronto: University of Toronto Press. // Data and replication files

Refereed Articles

• Armstrong, David A. II, and Jack Lucas. Forthcoming. “The Structure of Municipal Voting in Vancouver.” Journal of Urban Affairs
• Breton, Charles, Jack Lucas, and Zack Taylor. Forthcoming. “Local Autonomy: Unconditional Elites and Conditional Publics.” Local Government Studies.
• Lucas, Jack. Forthcoming. “The Ideological Structure of Municipal Non-Ideology.” Urban Affairs Review.
  
• Anderson, Cameron, Jack Lucas, and R. Michael McGregor. Forthcoming. “Economic Voting and Home Values: Who is Held Accountable for the Housing Market?” Journal of Urban Affairs.
• Blidook, Kelly, Royce Koop, and Jack Lucas. Forthcoming. “Municipal Representation Style and Focus: Evidence from Canadian Mayors and Councillors.” Representation.
• Borwein, Sophie and Jack Lucas. Forthcoming. “Municipal Identity and City Interests.” Political Behavior. // Supplementary Material | Data and Replication Files
• Armstrong, David, Jack Lucas, and Zack Taylor. 2022. “The Urban-Rural Divide in Canadian Federal Elections, 1896–2019.” Canadian Journal of Political Science 55 (1): 84-106. // Preprint Version | Supplementary Material
• Lucas, Jack, R. Michael McGregor, and Kim-Lee Tuxhorn. 2022 “Closest to the People? Incumbency Advantage and the Personal Vote in Non-Partisan Elections” Political Research Quarterly 75 (1): 188-202. // Supplementary Material | Data and replication files
• Lucas, Jack. 2022 “Do ‘Non-Partisan’ Politicians Match the Partisanship of their Constituents?” Urban Affairs Review 58 (1): 103-128.
• Franceschet, Antonio, Jack Lucas, Brenda O’Neill, Elizabeth Pando, and Melanee Thomas. 2022. “Editor Fatigue: Can Political Science Journals Increase Review Acceptance Rates?” PS: Political Science and Politics. 55 (1): 117:122. // Data and replication files
• Lucas, Jack and David A. Armstrong II. 2021. “Policy Ideology and Local Ideological Representation in Canada.” Canadian Journal of Political Science 54(4): 959-976. // Data and Replication Files | Policy Ideology Estimates for Municipalities and Federal Electoral Districts
• Lucas, Jack, Reed Merrill, Kelly Blidook, Sandra Breux, Laura Conrad, Gabriel Eidelman, Royce Koop, Daniella Marciano, Zack Taylor, Salomé Vallette. 2021. “Women’s Municipal Electoral Performance: An Introduction to the Canadian Municipal Elections Database.” Canadian Journal of Political Science 54(1): 125-133. // Data and replication files | Supplementary Material
• McGregor, R. Michael, Cameron Anderson, Éric Bélanger, Sandra Breux, Jack Lucas, Scott Matthews, Anne Mévellec, Aaron Moore, Scott Pruysers, Laura Stephenson, and Erin Tolley. 2021. “The Canadian Municipal Election Study.’’ Frontiers in Political Science.
• Lucas, Jack. 2021 “The Size and Sources of Municipal Incumbency Advantage in Canada.” Urban Affairs Review. 57(2): 373-401. // Data and replication files
• Lucas, Jack and R. Michael McGregor. 2020. “Are City Elections Unique? Perceptions of Electoral Cleavages and Social Sorting Across Levels of Government.” Electoral Studies 66: 1-8.
• Armstrong, David, Matthew Lebo, and Jack Lucas. 2020 “Do COVID-19 Policies Affect Mobility Behaviour? Evidence from 75 Canadian and American Cities.” Canadian Public Policy 46(2): 127-144.
• Armstrong, David, and Jack Lucas. 2020. “Measuring and Comparing Municipal Policy Responses to COVID-19.” Canadian Journal of Political Science 53(2): 227-238. // Online Appendix | Data and replication files
• Lucas, Jack. 2020. “Reaction or Reform? Subnational Evidence on P.R. Adoption from Canadian Cities.” Representation 56(1): 89-109. // Supplementary material
• Davidson, Adrienne, Jack Lucas, and R. Michael McGregor. 2020. “Politics and Religion: Identifying the Correlates of Support for Merging the Public and Separate School Systems in Ontario.” Canadian Journal of Education 43(1): 229-257.
• McGregor, R. Michael and Jack Lucas. 2019. “Who Has School Spirit? Explaining Voter Participation in Calgary School Board Elections.” Canadian Journal of Political Science. // Data and replication files
• Peterson, Jacqueline, Jack Lucas, and Andrew Klain. 2019. “Cities, Places, and Provincial Policy Agendas.” Canadian Public Administration 62 (2): 249-269. // Data.
  • Honourable mention, Hodgetts Award for best article in the 2019 volume of Canadian Public Administration.
• Lucas, Jack and Alison Smith. 2019. “Multilevel Governance from the Municipal Point of View.” Canadian Public Administration. 62(2): 270-293. // Data and replication files | Supplementary material.
  • Winner, Hodgetts Award for best article in the 2019 volume of Canadian Public Administration.
• Weijs, Cynthia, Sara Gobrail, Jack Lucas, Jennifer Zwicker, and Lindsay McLaren. 2019. “Identifying and critically examining government legislation relevant to children’s dental caries in Calgary, Alberta, Canada: a health inequities lens.” Journal of Public Health Dentistry 79(2): 137-146.
• Lucas, Jack. 2018. “Toward Delegation: Social Policy Centralization in Toronto, 1870-1929.” Journal of Policy History 30(2): 272-300.
• Lucas, Jack. 2017. “Urban Governance and the American Political Development Approach.” Urban Affairs Review 53(2): 338-361.
• Lucas, Jack and Robert Vipond. 2017. “Back to the Future: Historical Political Science and the Promise of Canadian Political Development.” Canadian Journal of Political Science 50(1): 219-241.
• Lucas, Jack. 2017. “Patterns of Urban Governance: A Sequence Analysis of Long-Term Institutional Change in Six Canadian Cities.” Journal of Urban Affairs 39(1): 68-90. // Data and replication files
• Goodman, Nicole and Jack Lucas. 2016. “The Policy Priorities of Municipal Candidates in the 2014 Ontario Elections.” Canadian Journal of Urban Research 25(2): 35-47.
• Lucas, Jack. 2015. “Local Governance and the Local Political Career: A Sample Dataset.” Canadian Public Administration 58(4): 605-617. // Data and replication files
• Lucas, Jack. 2015. “How Ontario Hydro Went Local: The Creation of Rural Power Districts and the Central Ontario System.” Scientia Canadensis 37(1-2): 59-76.
• Lucas, Jack. 2013. “A Century of Political Science in Canada.” Journal of Canadian Studies 47(2): 89-118. [paper]
• Lucas, Jack. 2013. “Berlin, Ontario in the Age of the ABC.” Urban History Review 41(2): 19-42.

Chapters and Reports

• Lucas, Jack and Alison Smith. 2020 “Performance, Effectiveness, and Legitimacy in Canadian Municipal IGR.” In Canadian Federalism: Performance, Effectiveness, and Efficiency (4th Ed.), edited by Herman Bakvis and Grace Skogstad. Toronto: University of Toronto Press.
• Lucas, Jack and Alison Smith. 2019. “Which Policy Issues Matter in Canadian Municipalities? A Survey of Municipal Politicians” School of Public Policy Research Papers. 12: 1-26. (Refereed report).
• Lucas, Jack and Anthony Sayers. 2018. “Accountability, Responsiveness, and the Local Political Career in Calgary and Edmonton.” In Accountability and Responsiveness at the Municipal Level: Views from Canada, edited by Sandra Breux and Jerome Couture. Montreal/Kingston: McGill-Queen’s University Press.
• Sayers, Anthony and Jack Lucas. 2017. “Policy Responsiveness and Political Accountability in City Politics.” School of Public Policy Research Papers 10(4): 1-23. (Refereed report).

Other Publications

• Lucas, Jack. 2020. “Introduction to the COVID-19 Series”. Canadian Journal of Political Science 53 (2): 221-225.
  
• Canadian Municipal Barometer Reports:
  • April, 2020: Municipal leaders happy with “Team Canada” response to COVID-19. Policy Options (With Gabriel Eidelman)
  • April, 2020: Cities are facing a coronavirus fiscal crisis. Maclean’s. (With Trevor Tombe)
  • April, 2020: Life After Coronavirus: The Municipal View
  • March, 2020: CMB 2020: First Look
  • December, 2019: CMB Background Data: Women’s Representation
  • October, 2019: CMB Background Data: Census and Institutions
• Calgary Year in Review Reports:
  • January 7, 2019: Understanding the Calgary Olympic Bid Plebiscite.
  • January 14, 2019: Mayor and Council Satisfaction in Calgary.
  • January 22, 2019: The Policy Priorities of the Calgary Business Community.
  • January 28, 2019: What do Calgarians think of their Local, Provincial, and National Economies?.
  • February 4, 2019: Where Should the City of Calgary Spend its Money?.
• Lucas, Jack. 2015. “Did Mayor Allen Huber Punch Louis Breithaupt in the Nose?” Waterloo Historical Society Annual Volume 102: 77-84.
• Lucas, Jack. 2015. “How Things Change: Adventures in Unreconstructed Institutionalism.” Public Sector Management 26(1): 24-25.
• Lucas, Jack. 2013. “Hidden in Plain View: Local Agencies, Boards, and Commissions in Canada.” IMFG Perspectives Series 4: 1-7.

Working Papers and Manuscripts

• Lucas, Jack. Ideology in Canadian Municipal Politics. Book manuscript. (draft complete)
• Hiller, Harry, Jack Lucas and R. Michael McGregor. “Why Do Local Residents Oppose Olympic Bids? An Electoral Perspective from Calgary 2026.” Revised and resubmitted.
• Eidelman, Gabriel and Jack Lucas. “Is Anybody Listening? Municipal Advocacy and Informal Intergovernmental Institutions in Canada” Under Review
• Lucas, Jack, Peter Loewen, and Lior Sheffer. “Are Politicians Democratic Realists?” Under Review
• Conrad, Laura and Jack Lucas. “Women’s Inclusion and Participation in Municipal Elections: Historical Evidence from Eligible Voter Lists.” Under Review
• Franceschet, Susan, Jack Lucas, and Erica Rayment. “Representing Women’s Policy Preferences: Evidence from Canada.” Under Review
• Lucas, Jack, Peter Loewen, and Lior Sheffer. “Pathways to Political Representation: Congruence and Knowledge among Canadian Politicians.” Under Review
• Sheffer, Lior, Jack Lucas, and Peter Loewen. “Long-Term Policymaking and Politicians’ Beliefs about Voters: Evidence from a Three-Year Panel Survey of Politicians.” Under Review
• Lucas, Jack, R. Michael McGregor, and Aengus Bridgman. “Spatial Voting in Non-Partisan Cities: A Case Study”
• McAndrews, John, Jack Lucas, Eric Merkley, Daniel Rubenson, and Peter Loewen. “Do Politicians and Citizens Agree on How to Combat COVID-19? Evidence from Three Studies.”
• Borwein, Sophie and Jack Lucas. “Asymmetries in Urban, Suburban, and Rural Place-Based Resentment.”
• Taylor, Zack, Jack Lucas, and David A. Armstrong II. “The Development of the Urban-Rural Cleavage in Anglo-American Democracies.”

Active Research Grants

• SSHRC Insight Grant. “The Multilevel Democracy Project”. $220,000. Principal investigator: Cameron Anderson. Co-applicants: Jack Lucas, R. Michael McGregor. Collaborator: Laura Stephenson.
• SSHRC Partnership Engage Grant. “Informing the Electorate: Public Opinion and Local Media for the Calgary Municipal Election”. $18,200, plus $5,000 from other sources. Principal investigator: Jack Lucas. Co-applicants: Robson Fletcher, R. Michael McGregor. Partners: University of Calgary, Ryerson University, CBC News Calgary.
• SSHRC COVID-19 Partnership Engage Grant. “Building Digital Representa- tive Democracy in a Pandemic Era”. $23,200, plus $21,000 from other sources. Principal investigator: Jack Lucas. Co-applicant: Michael Morden. Collaborator: Peter Loewen. Partners: University of Calgary, Samara Canada.
• Canadian Opinion Research Archive Grant. Canadian Gallup Project. $5,000.
• Google Cloud Academic Research Grant. “Canadian Municipal Election Study: Calgary 2021.” $10,206. Principal investigator: Aengus Bridgman. Co-applicants: Jack Lucas, R. Michael McGregor.
• SSHRC Partnership Development Grant. “The Canadian Municipal Barometer.” 2019-2022. $103,000 plus $87,000 from other sources. Principal investigator: Jack Lucas. Co-applicants: Sandra Breux, Kelly Blidook, Gabriel Eidelman, Royce Koop. Collaborators: Katherine Einstein, Thomas Ivacko, Andrew Sancton, Peter Loewen, Enid Slack, Jennifer Arntfield, Michael Morden. Partners: University of Calgary, University of Manitoba, University of Toronto, INRS Montreal, Memorial University, Federation of Canadian Municipalities, Samara Canada.
• SSHRC Insight Grant. “Cities in Canadian Political Development.” 2019-2024. $95,727. Jack Lucas (PI), Zack Taylor (co-PI), David Armstrong (Collaborator).
• SSHRC Insight Grant. “Canadian Municipal Election Study.” 2017-2021. $281,536. Principal Investigator: Michael McGregor. Co-applicants: Cameron Anderson, Eric Belanger, Sandra Breux, Jack Lucas, Scott Matthews, Aaron Moore, Laura Stephenson, Erin Tolley.

Datasets

• Canadian Municipal Barometer Dataverse
• Canadian Municipal Elections Database
• Other Data and Replication Files

CV

Please click here to access my CV.